Expert Political Judgment
Book by Philip E. Tetlock
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a 2005 book by Philip E. Tetlock. The book mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they are wrong, they are rarely held... Wikipedia
Originally published: 2005
Author: Philip E. Tetlock
£47.50 $5.75 delivery
Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic ...
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Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a 2005 book by Philip E. Tetlock. The book mentions how experts are often no better at making ...
Nov 27, 2005 · “Expert Political Judgment” is just one of more than a hundred studies that have pitted experts against statistical or actuarial formulas, and ...
Cynics groan that expert communities seem ready at hand for virtually any issue in the political spotlight-communities from which governments or their critics ...
The focus is on “thinking the right way”: judging judgment on the logical soundness of how we go about drawing inferences, updating beliefs, and evaluating ...
Expert political judgement: How good is it? How can we know? Citation. Tetlock, P. E. (2005). Expert political judgement: How good is it? How can we know?
The focus would be on the links between how people think and what they get right or wrong, at various junctures, in a kaleidoscopically shifting world. I ...
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It provides a stimulating and often profound discussion, not only of what sort of people tend to be better predictors than others, but of what we mean by good ...
