Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Book by Dan Gardner and Philip E. Tetlock
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a 2015 book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. It details findings from The Good Judgment Project. Wikipedia
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This book tells a great story about how a group of unpaid volunteers were able to defeat the most credentialed experts in a forecasting tournament and it goes ...
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a 2015 book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. It details findings from The Good Judgment Project.
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Today, Good Judgment's professional Superforecasters deliver unparalleled accuracy on forecasting questions across the political, economic and social spectrum.
Jul 23, 2020 · Superforecasters are ordinary people who make good predictions. They use specific techniques to do so, while thinking and perceive the world ...
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“Philip Tetlock's Superforecasting is a common-sense guide to thinking about decision-making and the future by a man who knows this terrain like no one else.”
It allows companies to make direct, statistically reliable comparisons among forecasters across a series of predictions. Over time, the scores reveal those who ...
Jul 8, 2021 · Superforecasting harnesses the wisdom of wise crowds. It has predicted everything from election results to market moves.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is dedicated to understanding superforecasters and exploring ways to become like them.